Football

Portugal Vs Slovenia, UEFA Euro 2024 Round Of 16: Preview, Prediction, Head-To-Head, Key Players

After Portug✃al ended the Euro 2024 group stage with a s🅷hock 2-0 defeat to Georgia, centre-back Pepe knows more will be required when they face Slovenia in the last 16 on Monday

Pepe and Cristiano Ronaldo pictured after Portugal's loss to Georgia
info_icon

After Portugal ended the Euro 2024 group stage with a shock 2-0 defeat to Georgia, centre-back Pepe knows more will be required when they face Slovenia in the last 16 on Monday. (More Football News)

That defeat did not stop the Selecao topping Group F and landingಞ a ro⛄und-of-16 draw against Slovenia, who qualified as one of the best third-placed finishers.

However, they are now on the same side of the knockout bracket as France, Belgium, Germany and Spain, and know they will likely have to beat multiple heav🌞yweights ifꦗ they are to go all the way.

At their last major tournament, the 2022 World Cup, Portugal set the record for the bigges⛄t margin of victory in a last-16 match at the World Cup or Euros, trouncing Switzerland 6-1.

They were, however, beaten 💞2-0 when they last met Slovenia in a friendly in March, leading Pepe to expeﷺct a tough test. 

"Port💝uga🐠l were among the best teams statistically in the group stage," he said. "From the first game here in Germany to the last, the fans have always been with us. 

"We ♎know it's going to be a very difficult game, not least because ꦡof our recent history. 

"It's about avoiding making the mistakes we made in that defeat back in March so that we 🔴can come out on top.

"We know it's going to be a very difficult j𒊎ourney. It's♐ going to be tough, but we all have to be together."

info_icon

This will be Slovenia's first-ever matchꦑ in the knockout stages at a m🤪ajor tournament, and the 26th such match for Portugal. Since their triumphant Euro 2016 campaign, Portugal have lost three of their four knockout matches at major tournaments (one win).

They will once again look to Cristiano Ronaldo to carry the attacking burden, though this is the first major tourn൲ament in his career in which h⛄e failed to net in the group stage, in his 11th participation overall.

Pepe, hꦿowever, has told fans not t𝓰o worry about the form of their captain.

"Cristiano lives for goals, that's a fact. But have you seen hiꦓs availability on the pitch to help the national team? It's incredible," the 41-year-old said.

"He's the player with the most minutes in our t💧eam, at 39 years old.

"He's doing vꦯery well. He'll do very well in the final stages of the European Championship. I'm certain he will give us a lot of joy."

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Portugal – Cristiano Ronaldo 

Ronaldo has not scored in any of his last seven appearances for Portugal at major tournaments, his longest-ever drought at the World Cup and Euros. He has had 19 s🐈hots without netting in those games since scoring versus Ghana at the 2022 World Cup.

The five-time Ballon d'Or winner has had 12 shots worth 1.32 expected goals (xG) so far at Euro 2024, t💖wice as many attempts as his nearest rival in the Portugal squad – Manchester United's Bruno Fernandes (six).

info_icon

Nine of his shots have come from inside the box, indicating he is taking up the right po🥂sitions and is likely to break his goal drought soon. 

He has also created six chances for his team, recording one assist to take the all-time European Championship record outright, with ꩲseven in his six participations.

Slovenia – Andraz Sporar

Slovenia have only netted two goals at the tournament thus far, but their strike duo Sporar and Benjamin Sesko hav🌼e been a handful for defences.

They m♍ay both be awaiting their first goal at Euro 2024, but they have registered a combined 12 shots between them (seven for Sporar and five by Sesko).

Five of Sporar's seven efforts have come from inside the area, and he has a total xG figure of 0.98 in his th༒ree matches. He has also won 13 duels overall, four of them in the air, demonstrating his willingness to get through plenty of defensive work.

MATCH PREDICTION: PORTUGAL WIN

The Opta supercomputer has given Portuꦓgal a 76% chance of progressing to the quarter-finals. Ahead of the first set of knockout fixtures, only England and Spain (both 82%) were ♐seen as more likely qualifiers.

Despite their slip-up against Georgia, which came with a much-changed starting lineup, Portugal ranked second for both possession share (67%) and total shots (53) in the group stage, b🥀ehind Germany (69%, 57 shots).

Their defeat o💜n matchday three halted a run of 12 consecutive wins in competitive action. However, they have not lost back-to-back competitive matches since Euro 2008, when they lost 0-2 to Switzerland in the group stage and 2-3 ⛄versus Germany in the quarter-finals.

Another player to watch in Selecao colours could be Vitinha, who leads all of his team-mates for line-breakinܫg🌌 passes (29) at this tournament. 

info_icon

His pass completion rate under high pressure is also the highest of any 🗹player for his country (90% - minimum 50💟 attempted). 

The Paris Saint-Ge🍷rmain man is brimming with confidence and his quality could be key against a Slovenia side likely to dig in, just as they did in group-stage draws with Denmark and England.

OPTA WIN PROBABILITY

Portugal - 67%

Slovenia - 19.6%

Draw - 13.4%

CLOSE