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Paris Olympic Games 2024 Medal Tally Prediction: Who Will Win Most Medals? Can China Topple USA?

This forecast is by Nielsen's Gracenot e Sports, which supplies stati🎉stical analysis for sports leagues around the world. It also tracks major competitions involving Olympic sports leading up to the Games

The Paris 2024 Olympic medals
The Paris 2024 Olympic medals. Photo - X/TonyEstanguet
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As the Paris Olympics are set to open this week, the United States goes in as the favorite to win the most medals. China is unlikely to overtake the U.S. in the overall medal haul, but has a chance to win more gold medals than the Americans. (More Sports News)

Though the Games highlight great individ🌳ual athletes, they are also a surrogate for geopolitcal influence and nati🌳onal pride.

The United States is projected to win 112 medals overall — 39 ꦗgold, 32 silver, and 41 bronze. China is forecast to win 86 overall — 3ജ4 gold, 27 silver, and 25 bronze.

This forecast is by Nielsen's Gracenot e Sports, which supplies statistical analysis for sports lea♈gues around the world. It also tracks major competitions involving Olympic sports leading up to the Games.

The United States and China finished 1-2 in both categorie♎s in 2021 in the pandem꧑ic-delayed Tokyo Olympics.

The International Olympic Committ🍸ee does not compile medal rankings. Gracenote has calculated its standings on overall medals won, although others focus th🌄e rankings on gold totals.

The forecast for the Americans on top is no surprise. This would be the eighth consecutive time the United States has won the most overall medals at the Summer Games. The Unified team topped the overall count in 1992 at Barcelona, composed of athletes from the former Soviet Uꦅnion just after it broke up as a sovereign state.

The last Summer Olympics in which the Uni🗹ted States did not top the gold-medꦇal table was in 2008 in Beijing.

After the United States and China, the next in line with overall totals and gold totals are: Britain (63-17), France (60-27), Australia (54-15), Japan (47-13), Italy (46-11), Germany (35-11), Netꦗherlands (34-16), South Korea (26-9).

The next places 11 to 20 are: Canada (21-7), Hungary (20-7), Brazil (18-8), Spain ๊(18-5), Poland (17-3), Denmark (14-5), Turkey (14-4), New Zealand (14-4), Ukraine (13-2), Ethiopia (12-6).

Countries always get a medal bump being the host nation, and France is expected to almost triple the number of gol🥃ꩵd medals it won in Tokyo.

Thiᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ𒀱ᩚᩚᩚs time the medals will be inlaid with a tiny piece of the Eiffel Tower.

Host nations spend more heavily for a home Olympics, and the home crowds also help with at💃hletes competing in familiar surroundings.

Conversely, Japan won a record 58 overall medals three ye♔ars ago in Tokyo, and 27 gold. It is su🤪re to slip this time.

The unknown factor is the presence of Russian and — to a lesser extent — Belarusian athletes. They have been absent from most international competitions over the last two years because of the war in Ukraine. And, by order of the IOC, any medals those athletes win are not to be included in any medal taཧble.

More than 300 Russian athletes competed three yeꦜars ago in Tokyo. This time the totalꦐ may be just a dozen or so.